Wednesday, 13 July 2005

One as the Ideal Podcast Audience Size

In television and radio, it costs the same to reach 10 people as 10,000 or 10,000,000. In fact, the sunk costs of transmitters and FCC licenses inherently bias toward larger audiences. If everyone within range of your transmitter isn’t paying attention to you, there’s still marketing to be done.

On the other hand, the distribution technologies in podcasting inherently bias smaller audiences. Each additional website visitor adds to the load on web server, an additional straw on the proverbial camel’s back. Eventually, the server can’t take it and crashes (slashdotting). Adding insult to injury, when a podcast suddenly gets popular the site is slashdotted, the publisher’s monthly bandwidth allocation is also gone.

With the release of iTunes 4.9, some of the most popular podcasts were taken down, right as their demand peaked. In the same way the goal of viral marketing is to turn customers into the marketing department, Dave Slusher and Leo Laporte are experimenting with BitTorrent to transform their listeners into their distributors. BitTorrent turns internet distribution into something more akin to broadcasting, where each additional visitor makes it easier on the publisher. Unfortunately, iTunes doesn’t yet support BitTorrent. iTunes does support video-casts, and given video files are a magnitude of size greater than audio files, this is worrisome.

Aside from the tag-driven directory at Odeo.com, all of the podcast directories start with a limited number of high-level categories (19 in the case of iTunes). Any finite number of generic top-level categories inherently conflicts with podcasting’s bias toward extremely niche conversations. In the same way Yahoo’s top-level categorization conflicts with the web’s inherent bias toward extremely niche conversations. For more on this, listen to Clay Shirky’s Ontology is Overrated presentation at ITConversations.

Notice the above link is to a specific presentation at ITConversations – categorization at the individual podcast-level is more useful than categorization at the podcaster-level. I’ll extend this further; if two podcasters fall under a same category, both of them need to specialize further.

Soon the best, most relevant, most engaging podcasts won’t be listed in iTunes or any directory. The risk of slashdotting and mis-categorization is too high.

As Groucho Marx famously stated:

“I don’t want to belong to any club that will accept me as a member.”

Thursday, 30 June 2005

Giving the Gift of Listening

David Weeks from Peppermint CDs invited me to join him at a talk by David Isay of the StoryCorp project as part of MPR’s Broadcast Journalism breakfast series.

It was an amazing way to start the morning. Inspiring. I see StoryCorp and podcasting solving the same problem – getting everyday stories heard. Your family’s stories, your friend’s stories, the stories more important and more powerful than those on the 10 o’clock news. Inspiring stories told by these people in voices filled with honesty and authenticity. These are not stories interrupted by car ads and they won’t be repeated every 15 minutes for to keep the Arbitron ratings up. These are our stories.

I urge all of you to grab a microphone, sit down with someone close to you, hit record, and listen. StoryCorp has set up a Do-It-Yourself intervew and recording guide.

David Weeks, thank you again for allowing me to join you. This was an inspiring way to start the day.

Tuesday, 28 June 2005

iTunes 4.9 with Podcasting, First Impressions

The new iTunes 4.9 supporting podcasts is out today, it will do wonders for increasing the visibility of the most popular podcasts and radio station-produced podcasts. This is definitely the easiest way to subscribe to a podcast, whether browsing or manually. Until iTMS URL linking is functional, it’s a two step process to subscribe to a podcast. Still the easiest and simplest process.

Update: Podcaters, swap out the ‘http’ with ‘pcast’ in your feed URL and you’ve got iTunes 1-click subscription. Special thanks to Jason Ruby at the Delta Park Project for doing the legwork on this.

As expected, browsing the iTunes podcast directory is similar to browsing the iTunes audio book directory – after selecting a genre, the best way to navigate is using the ‘search’. This is works great for known things (my iTunes Library) – it’s far less useful for unknown things (all the podcasts in the world).

I’m migrating my audio-only podcasts to iTunes, the podcasts + weblog I enjoy are remaining in NetNewsWire. Here’s what I’ve seen thus far; The Gillmor Gang is available, but not the Gillmor Daily. This Week in Tech is available, though iTunes doesn’t know what to do with the torrent file. The First Crack podcast is in, though not the latest show (it shows up after subscribing) and the artwork is missing. Finally, unlike all the ipodders to date, iTunes doesn’t offer a way to export your podcast subscriptions in a way you can share them.

Sunday, 26 June 2005

RSS Feeds to Replace CDs

To this point, musicians need to press bits of plastic (records, CDs) each time they want to share music with their fans. This means, enough music has to be ready to make pressing bits of plastic worth the cost. These bits of plastic are then shipped at an additional cost to stores where hopefully the fans, after hearing about the new bit of plastic via the marketing campaign, will purchase it. Passing little bits of money back to all intermediaries on the return trip to the artist.

I see two weak links in that process;

  1. Musicians needing to have a number of tracks ready at once.
  2. Fans paying musicians at the end of the process.

With a podcast, musicians can release whatever they’d like, whenever they’d like; demo tracks, rough tracks, experiments, final edits, interviews, conversations about the song writing process, anything their fans would enjoy. All of it delivered automatically to their biggest fans.

To access the podcast feed, fans pay up-front, or along the way, or at the end. Doesn’t matter. Passionate fans will pay for access to an empty RSS feed, thereby financing new work, while new fans pay for access to previous feeds, just as they do with previous albums today.

Faster publication and distribution helps musicians refine their work more quickly and gives fans a sense of being involved in the creation process. Two big wins.

What do fans lose when RSS feeds replace CDs? Aside from the physical artifact and the costs of designing, creating, moving, and storing the physical artifact? Very little. Cover art and credits are in the ID3 tags and the feed itself.

Monday, 20 June 2005

How can Podcasting Help an Art Museum?

One of the exciting podcasting-related conversations I mentioned in an earlier post was with Brent Gustafson over at the Walker Art Center.

We grabbed a coffee at the newly renovated Loring Park Dunn Bros and discussed some podcast-related services the Walker Art Center could offer.

As expected, some interesting projects came out of our time together. Brent mentions one of them in a recent post at the Walker’s New Media Initiatives Blog:

“The other thing Garrick and I talked about was user tours. The idea is you could comment on an artwork after you hear about it when you dial Art on Call. It would save this as a voicemail, which automatically archives it to MP3, and we could pick the best comments to create user tours. This would allow people to choose multiple “versions” of the same tour. You could pick from the artists tour, the Teen remix, or the user tour of the same show, each having a different perspective on the work.”

To me, podcasting gets interesting after the part about it being an alternative to broadcast radio – where it starts to extend and enhance a business in a way radio can’t.

Thursday, 16 June 2005

A Better Dircaster for the FastCast

In my quest to make podcasting as easy as possible, I’ve hacked the dircast (turns a directory of mp3s into a podcast) to support getID3() (reads the ID3 tags; artist, album, comments, from an mp3 file). I’ve also cleaned up the code a little, making it easier to customize.

Download BetDirCaster from here

The first project using BetDirCaster is my fastcast experiment. In contrast to the long, conversational form of First Crack Podcast, fastcast will be more like voicemail. Very quick, unedited thoughts, under a minute. Messages rather than conversations.

I’ve set up Audio Hijack Pro to write the ID3 tags, when I stop the recording, Automator tells Transmit to upload the mp3.

Monday, 13 June 2005

Friday, 10 June 2005

Lots of Conversation, Lots of Energy

This week was chock full of conversations with people interested in how podcasting can work for their business. The amount of enthusiasm and energy I consistently received from across the table blew me away. Two other things that struck me:

  1. The people I’m talking with aren’t currently that far away from podcasting. It’s just a matter of connecting the dots.
  2. At least 3 really cool ideas for a podcast came out of each conversation. Ideas playing to the strengths of both podcasting and the organization.

As we all know, there’s still a layer of geek needed for the podcasting magic to happen. I can’t wait until that’s no longer an issue.

Saturday, 4 June 2005

Podcasting is Closer to Voicemail than Radio

Yesterday, I listened to the latest from the Podcast Brothers featuring an interview with Todd Storch. You’ve probably gleaned that I don’t see the viability of an ad subsidized podcast. As I’ve mentioned in the economics of podcasting, existing broadcasters have huge amounts of money sunk into transmitters, spectrum, studios, and talent. The easiest way to get a return on that investment is from advertisers. These sunk costs don’t exist in podcasting. So, there’s no financial pain for advertisers to heal.

For the sake of not having the advertiser conversation for a moment, let’s put down the radio metaphor.

If someone calls my phone and leaves a message – I get it automatically. When Dave Winer, Tim Elliot, Cayenne Chris, or Dave Slusher publish a new audio file, I get it automatically.

Phone messages are also very personal, relevant to a topic I’m concerned with, and vary both in frequency and duration. All characteristics of a good podcast. Voicemail also isn’t ad subsidized.

As Doc Searls famously asked in the BloggerCon Making Money session:

“What’s the business model of my telephone?”

Lawyers, accountants, coaches, and other professional consultants stake each paycheck on answering clients’ questions expertly and immediately. What’s the value of a voicemail from your accountant? Depends on the question.

How much would you pay for your accountant to leave a voicemail answering a question just before you ask it?

That’s how to make money podcasting.

In Podcasting is the New Voicemail, Ross Mayfield is thinking along the same lines:

“Soon it will be one of the simplest ways to communicate with groups.”

Tuesday, 31 May 2005

Podcasting is Ron Popeil for the Radio

Mark Ramsey at Radio Marketing Nexus nails the value of podcasting to business:

Podcasting is to Radio spots as infomercials are to TV spots.

I’ve used the informercial comparison before, I’m glad others see it also. The traditional model of commerical spots interrupting a regularly scheduled program falls apart in podcasting. Podcasts can shrink and expand to whatever length makes sense and economics of it mean businesses can publish them in-house faster and easier than waiting to get on a networks schedule.

A good podcast is about one idea, like a good sentence. Traditional interruption-based advertising duct-tapes on a second idea. Earlier, this would be the only way to distribute the commercial message – outside of an infomercial. With podcasting businesses go direct to customers – plus now the commerical message won’t be interupted by the regularly scheduled program.

Beside, when you get far enough down the long tail, everything is both information and advertisement.

Elsewhere 22 April 2007

“Commercial information will be opt-in, long-form, information-rich and entertaining, or people won’t watch it.” – Dave Winer